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Current Win Probability
Greenock Morton 29.4%
Draw 27.8%
Ayr United 42.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.9%
27.7%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
26.4%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenock Morton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Greenock Morton - Ayr United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 9th in the Championship (Relegation) and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Ayr could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Ayr is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Greenock has recorded 6 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:22 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Greenock against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:13 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Ayr
11
3
3
5
10:12
-2
12
9
Morton
11
2
1
8
9:18
-9
7
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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