Match Info

Date: 5 February 2021, Friday


	Ayr United		Hearts

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.45	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.45
	5.6	4.2	1.48	Watch
	5.4	4.4	1.48
	6	4.42	1.55
	5.8	4	1.5	Watch
	5.45	4.6	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↓ (5.71)	4.26 ↓ (4.33)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayr United
16.5%

Draw
21.6%

Hearts
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

21.3%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

17.8%

74.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hearts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ayr United - Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Premiership).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hearts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hearts is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ayr won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
30.01.21	Ayr United - Alloa Athletic	4:1 ✺
23.01.21	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	0:0 ✺
02.01.21	Queen of the South - Ayr United	3:2 ✺
29.12.20	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
26.12.20	Hearts - Ayr United	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Football Championship
30.01.21	Hearts - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
26.01.21	Raith Rovers - Hearts	0:4 ✺
23.01.21	Hearts - Raith Rovers	2:3 ✺
16.01.21	Alloa Athletic - Hearts	1:3 ✺
02.01.21	Dundee - Hearts	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
26.12.20	Hearts - Ayr United	5:3

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