Match Info

Premiership - Championship Group - Round 37

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Ireland	NOW
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV3
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	Paramount+
World	Onefootball


	Hearts		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.41	4.7	6.9	Watch
	1.43	5	7.67
	1.41	5.05	6.95	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.41	4.7	6.88	Watch
	1.61	3.9	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.63)	4.66 ↑ (3.9)	6.64 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
65.5%

Draw
20.3%

Falkirk
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

23.8%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

22.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hearts's performance.

Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hearts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Hearts - Falkirk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hearts (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hearts will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schwolow A. (G) 15. Steinwender M. 2. Kent F. 19. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. 89. Kyziridis A. 6. Baningime B. 14. Devlin C. 16. Spittal B. 9. Shankland L. (C) 10. Braga C.	1. Hogarth N. (G) 20. Allan C. 6. Donaldson C. (C) 5. Henderson L. 42. Hart S. 8. Spencer B. 21. Tait D. 11. Broggio B. 14. Yeats F. 29. Miller C. 22. Wilson K.
Substitutes
23. Altena J. 12. Borchgrevink C. 99. Chesnokov I. 17. Forrest A. 30. Fulton R. (G) 11. Kabore P. 29. Kerjota S. 3. Kingsley S. 5. McCart J.	39. Bennet K. 36. Brown K. 17. Cartwright H. 7. Graham B. 9. MacIver R. 18. Oliver G. 27. Parkinson B. 23. Ross E. 12. Sneddon J. (G)
Coaches
McInnes D.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Spittal B. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Kent F. ⚽, Kyziridis A. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Devlin C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Milne H. ↓, Kingsley S. ↑,
46', Tait D. ↓, MacIver R. ↑,
46', Wilson K. ↓, Parkinson B. ↑,
52', Miller C. 🟨,
56', Miller C. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
67', Devlin C. ↓, Altena J. ↑,
75', Yeats F. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
76', Spencer B. 🟨,
82', Henderson L. 🟨,
83', Kyziridis A. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
83', Braga C. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Spittal B. ⚽, Steinwender M. (A),
90+3', Spittal B. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 3.

Hearts is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Falkirk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hearts is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Thigh Injury) Gordon C. (Shoulder Injury) Magnusson T. (Broken cheekbone) McEntee O. (Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Falkirk: Marsh L. (Thigh Injury) Williams E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Milne H. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Falkirk: Lissah F. (Injury) McCann L. (Injury)

We predict that Hearts will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hearts: 4.66% Falkirk: 0.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16
11	Falkirk	8	1	3	4	7:11	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Hearts - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
09.05.26	Motherwell - Hearts	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Hibernian - Hearts	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hearts - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Livingston - Hearts	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWT
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
09.05.26	Falkirk - Hibernian	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Falkirk - Motherwell	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Celtic - Falkirk	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.04.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Falkirk	1:0 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
12.04.26	Falkirk - Glasgow Rangers	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
21.02.26	Hearts - Falkirk	1:0
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Hearts - Falkirk	1:2 penalties
Scottish Premier League
13.12.25	Falkirk - Hearts	0:2
27.09.25	Hearts - Falkirk	3:0
Scottish League Cup
17.08.24	Falkirk - Hearts	2:0
Scottish Cup
08.02.20	Falkirk - Hearts	0:1
Scottish Football Championship
21.03.15	Falkirk - Hearts	0:3

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