Match Info

Premiership - Championship Group - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Fir Park (Motherwell)

Referee: McLean S. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Arena 4
Ireland	NOW
Italy	Como TV
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	Paramount+
World	Onefootball


	Motherwell		Hearts

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.68	3.35	2.52	Watch
	2.83	3.55	2.56
	2.78	3.46	2.48	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.5
	2.69	3.34	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.52)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.49 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Motherwell
34.7%

Draw
27.5%

Hearts
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	3.7%	85.2%

Motherwell - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Hearts will win (votes: 23 - 85.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 71.8% – 98.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hearts (1.86) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Hearts (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hearts will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Hearts (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ward C. (G) 2. O'Donnell S. (C) 4. Gordon L. 57. Welsh S. 90. Said I. 25. Priestman O. 20. Watt E. 18. Maswanhise T. 8. Slattery C. 45. Longelo E. 21. Just E.	25. Schwolow A. (G) 15. Steinwender M. 4. Halkett C. 19. Findlay S. 23. Altena J. 49. Leonard M. 6. Baningime B. 3. Kingsley S. 16. Spittal B. 10. Braga C. 9. Shankland L. (C)
Substitutes
29. Booth M. 77. Charles-Cook R. 11. Halliday A. 66. Hendry C. 22. Koutroumbis J. 31. Matty Connelly (G) 19. Nicholson S. 28. Ross L. 7. Sparrow T.	12. Borchgrevink C. 99. Chesnokov I. 14. Devlin C. 30. Fulton R. (G) 11. Kabore P. 2. Kent F. 29. Kerjota S. 89. Kyziridis A. 5. McCart J.
Coaches
Askou J.	McInnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Just E. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Kingsley S. (Own goal),
43', 1 - 1, Shankland L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leonard M. ↓, Kyziridis A. ↑,
47', Steinwender M. 🟨,
58', Altena J. 🟨,
63', Halkett C. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
72', Braga C. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
77', Said I. ↓, Koutroumbis J. ↑,
79', Findlay S. 🟨,
86', Maswanhise T. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
86', Just E. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
87', Kingsley S. ↓, McCart J. ↑,
87', Spittal B. ↓, Devlin C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 0.

Motherwell is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hearts is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Motherwell: Bjorgolfsson E. (Muscle Injury) Robinson Z. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Thigh Injury) Gordon C. (Shoulder Injury) Magnusson T. (Broken cheekbone) McEntee O. (Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Braga C. (Injury) Kingsley S. (Injury) Milne H. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hearts: 4.17% Motherwell: 0.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
02.05.26	Falkirk - Motherwell	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Hearts - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Motherwell - Falkirk	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Motherwell - Hibernian	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLLT
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
04.05.26	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Hibernian - Hearts	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Hearts - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Livingston - Hearts	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Hearts - Dundee	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
11.04.26	Hearts - Motherwell	3:1
29.11.25	Motherwell - Hearts	0:0
23.08.25	Hearts - Motherwell	3:3
10.05.25	Hearts - Motherwell	3:0
12.04.25	Motherwell - Hearts	0:0
02.01.25	Hearts - Motherwell	1:0
25.08.24	Motherwell - Hearts	3:1

Upcoming Matches