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Current Win Probability
Motherwell 25.7%
Draw 24.5%
Hearts 49.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.9%
25.9%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
25.2%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hearts's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Motherwell - Hearts Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paulsen A. (G) 7. Sparrow T. (C) 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 5. Moormann M. 45. Longelo E. 63. Levitt D. 6. McGhee J. 18. Maswanhise T. 19. Said I. 71. Hodge J. 47. Palmer-Houlden S.
1. Reus B. (G) 74. Mato R. 64. Fagan-Walcott M. 5. McCart J. 3. Kingsley S. (C) 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 23. Altena J. 15. McPake J. 21. Wilson J. 10. Braga C.
Substitutes
15. Bjorgolfsson E. 27. Booth M. 13. Kanga J. 4. Knight-Lebel J. 21. Matty Connelly (G) 2. O'Donnell S. 77. Vogt W. 23. Wilson E.
77. Ba-Sy A. 27. Benjaminsen A. 31. Dhanda Y. 30. Fulton R. (G) 19. Guendouz S. 11. Kabore P. 78. Mendy L. 7. Miller C. 9. Williams J.
Coaches
Johansson A.
Vrancken W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Fagan-Walcott M. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Braga C. ⚽, Kerjota S. (A),
41', Sparrow T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Kerjota S. 🟨,
59', McCart J. 🟨,
61', Moormann M. ↓, Knight-Lebel J. ↑,
64', Magnusson T. ↓, Mendy L. ↑,
65', Kerjota S. ↓, Miller C. ↑,
65', McGhee J. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
65', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
77', Mato R. 🟨,
79', Said I. 🟨,
81', Maswanhise T. 🟨,
82', Sparrow T. ↓, O'Donnell S. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Miller C. ⚽,
87', Wilson J. ↓, Dhanda Y. ↑,
88', Braga C. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
90+1', McPake J. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
90+3', Dhanda Y. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 0.
Motherwell has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Hearts have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Motherwell could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Hearts is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Motherwell: Hendry C.
(Knee Injury)
McGinn P.
(Knee Injury)
Priestman O.
(Calf Injury)
Williams D.
(Hamstring Injury).
Confirmed absences for Hearts: Ageu
(Injury)
Findlay S.
(Inactive)
Halkett C.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McEntee O.
(Inactive)
Renaud T.
(Ankle Injury)
Spittal B.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Hearts: Borchgrevink C.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:28 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Motherwell against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Hearts
11
6
2
3
24:17
7
20
10
Motherwell
11
2
3
6
13:20
-7
9
Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now
Hearts: 4.31% Motherwell: 0.06%
Last Results with these Odds
Motherwell - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.89%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Hearts - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.