Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport


	Hearts		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.72	3.57	2.06
	3.67	3.57	2.01	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.91
	3.63	3.64	2	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.75)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
26.5%

Draw
26.8%

Viktoria Plzeň
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

24.3%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

23.6%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hearts's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	16.7%	77.8%

Hearts - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Plzeň will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gordon C. (C) 2. Kent F. 3. Kingsley S. 15. Rowles K. 82. Taylor Dosman G. G. 18. Boateng M. 14. Devlin C. 29. Penrice J. 27. Boyce L. 77. Vargas K. 7. Grant J.	13. Tvrdon M. (G) 10. Kopic J. 24. Havel M. 40. Dweh S. 21. Jemelka V. 22. Cadu 31. Sulc P. 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 12. Sojka A. 51. Vasulin D.
Substitutes
28. Clark Z. (G) 20. Dhanda Y. 37. Drammeh M. 17. Forrest A. 4. Halkett C. 10. McKay B. 11. Oda Y. 5. Oyegoke D. 24. Pollock F. 16. Spittal B. 25. Tait M. 21. Wilson J.	2. Hejda L. 16. Jedlicka M. (G) 33. Jirka E. 26. Mika V. 18. Mosquera J. 5. Paluska J. 20. Panos J. 9. Ricardinho 4. Sene C. 29. Sloncik T. 11. Vydra M. 1. Wiegele F. (G)
Coaches
Naismith S.	Koubek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Grant J. 🟨,
58', Sojka A. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
67', Grant J. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
67', Penrice J. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
72', Boyce L. ↓, Dhanda Y. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Cerv L. ⚽, Vasulin D. (A),
82', Devlin C. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
82', Vargas K. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
87', Vasulin D. ↓, Hejda L. ↑,
90+2', Sulc P. ↓, Sloncik T. ↑,
90+4', Kent F. 🟨,
90+4', Taylor Dosman G. G. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Hearts has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Plzeň in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hearts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hearts have a series of guest games.

Plzeň will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hearts won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
25.08.24	Motherwell - Hearts	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Hearts	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
17.08.24	Falkirk - Hearts	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
10.08.24	Dundee - Hearts	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLT
- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Hearts	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.08.24	Dynamo České Budějovice - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
11.08.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Karviná	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Kryvbas - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Hearts	1:0

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