Match Info

Premiership - Round 22

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Dens Park (Dundee)

Referee: Lee R. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
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Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
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Indonesia	SPOTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Como TV
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mongolia	SPOTV
Philippines	SPOTV
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Vietnam	SPOTV
World	Onefootball


	Dundee		Hearts

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.46	Watch
	5.9	4.15	1.52	Watch
	6.46	4.17	1.52	Watch
	6	4	1.5
	6.76	4.1	1.48	Watch
	6	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↓ (7.05)	4.07 ↓ (4.25)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
14.7%

Draw
23%

Hearts
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

22.3%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

21.6%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	7.1%	57.1%

Dundee - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dundee will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Hearts will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Dundee (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundee (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hearts (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCracken J. (G) 4. Astley R. 22. Graham L. 5. Koumetio B. 7. Wright D. 48. Hamilton E. (C) 20. Congreve C. 10. Robertson F. 28. Jones C. 17. Yogane T. 11. Hay A.	25. Schwolow A. (G) 23. Altena J. 4. Halkett C. 5. McCart J. 19. Findlay S. 6. Baningime B. 14. Devlin C. 22. Magnusson T. 10. Braga C. 89. Kyziridis A. 9. Shankland L. (C)
Substitutes
9. Acquah E. 27. Bevan J. 8. Digby P. 2. Ingram E. 15. Murray S. 13. O'Hara K. (G) 18. Reilly C. 3. Robertson C. 12. Samuels I.	99. Chesnokov I. 17. Forrest A. 1. Gordon C. (G) 7. Kabangu E. 11. Kabore P. 2. Kent F. 29. Kerjota S. 16. Spittal B. 15. Steinwender M.
Coaches
Pressley S.	McInnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Braga C. ⚽, Shankland L. (A),
27', Astley R. 🟨,
45+5', Schwolow A. 🟥,
45+6', Braga C. ↓, Gordon C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Altena J. ↓, Steinwender M. ↑,
59', Robertson F. 🟨,
64', Robertson F. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
64', Astley R. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,
70', Kyziridis A. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
70', Shankland L. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
86', Jones C. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
90+2', Wright D. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Dundee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hearts is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Dundee: Westley J. (Injury)

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Hamstring Injury) Kartum S. (Inactive) Nieuwenhof C. (Injury) Pollock F. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:43. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Hearts: 4.17% Dundee FC: 0.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16
4	Dundee FC	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Premier League
03.01.26	Dundee United - Dundee	0:1 ✺
30.12.25	Dundee - Kilmarnock	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Dundee - Falkirk	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Motherwell - Dundee	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Livingston - Dundee	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWLT
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
03.01.26	Hearts - Livingston	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Hibernian - Hearts	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Falkirk - Hearts	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Celtic - Hearts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
01.11.25	Hearts - Dundee	4:0
26.04.25	Hearts - Dundee	0:1
Scottish Cup
07.03.25	Hearts - Dundee	3:1
Scottish Premier League
01.02.25	Dundee - Hearts	0:6
07.12.24	Hearts - Dundee	2:0
10.08.24	Dundee - Hearts	3:1
11.05.24	Hearts - Dundee	3:0

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