Match Info

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Nesebar

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.95	5.3
	1.5	4.23	5.5	Watch
	1.47	3.94	5.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	4.04 ↓ (4.05)	5.51 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
61.2%

Draw
22.4%

Nesebar
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.9%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Nesebar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th and 7th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Hebar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Hebar is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Nesebar	12	5	3	4	20:17	3	18
10	Hebar	12	5	2	5	27:20	7	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.10.26	Sportist Svoge - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Montana - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:5 ✺
14.09.26	Hebar Pazardzhik - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4:1 ✺
07.09.26	Spartak Pleven - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWL
- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Cup
18.10.26	Nesebar - CSKA Sofia	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.10.26	Nesebar - CSKA Sofia II	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Vihren Sandanski - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Nesebar - Beroe Stara Zagora	4:3 ✺
15.09.26	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Nesebar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWT

Hebar Pazardzhik - Nesebar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide