Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Macclesfield Town

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.1	1.62
	4	4.2	1.64
	3.88	4.55	1.68
	4.05	4.43	1.69
	4.26	3.95	1.64
	4	4.2	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (5.19)	4.24 ↑ (4.19)	1.65 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
22.8%

Draw
21.6%

Macclesfield Town
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

21.8%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

21.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hebburn Town's performance.

Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Macclesfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hebburn Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Macclesfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hebburn Town - Macclesfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hebburn will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Macclesfield will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Noble L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, Heathcote S. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Recent matches Hebburn is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Macclesfield is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Macclesfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Macclesfield is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hebburn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
25.01.25	Lancaster City - Hebburn Town	2:2 ✺
14.01.25	Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Warrington Rylands - Hebburn Town	2:2 ✺
01.01.25	Hebburn Town - Workington	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTWT
- Macclesfield Town
English NPL Premier Division
25.01.25	Macclesfield Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Macclesfield Town	0:4 ✺
11.01.25	Macclesfield Town - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Ashton United - Macclesfield Town	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Macclesfield Town - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
15.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Hebburn Town	4:1

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