Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Stockton Town		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.72
	2.17	3.8	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.23	3.42	2.78
	2.14	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.28)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)	2.81 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
41.5%

Draw
26.1%

Hebburn Town
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Hebburn Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Stockton Town - Hebburn Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stockton Town will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hebburn will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockton Town (votes: 1 - 50%). Hebburn (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Murray L. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Petitjean J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Purewal A. ⚽,
67', 3 - 1, Coulthard T. ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, Nicholson A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Stockton Town has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hebburn is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stockton Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Stockton Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Stockton Town - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.53%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Hebburn Town - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Workington - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Stockton Town - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Stockton Town - Warrington Rylands	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTLW
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Hebburn Town - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Hyde United - Hebburn Town	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Hebburn Town	0:1 ✺
25.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hebburn Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.04.25	Hebburn Town - Stockton Town	2:0
26.12.24	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	1:1

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