Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 13

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.55	4.05
	1.76	3.61	4.16
	1.90	2.87	5.01	Watch
	1.86	3.61	3.92
	1.44	4.5	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.34)	3.63 ↓ (4.78)	4.56 ↓ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
53.8%

Draw
25.7%

Hebburn Town
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

18.3%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United of Manchester's form might have worsened.

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hebburn Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United of Manchester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hebburn Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

United of Manchester - Hebburn Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Le Fondre A. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In recent matches, United of Manchester has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hebburn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, United of Manchester is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, United of Manchester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Workington - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Prescot Cables - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
16.09.25	United of Manchester - Morpeth Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	United of Manchester - Chadderton	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.25	Workington - United of Manchester	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTLT
- Hebburn Town
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Hebburn Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hebburn Town	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Hebburn Town - Workington	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Curzon Ashton - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.02.25	United of Manchester - Hebburn Town	1:2
02.11.24	Hebburn Town - United of Manchester	1:1
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Hebburn Town - United of Manchester	0:3

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