Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.55	2.72
	2.06	3.57	3.11
	2.26	3.60	2.79	Watch
	2.1	3.48	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.26)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	2.9 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
42.7%

Draw
25.8%

Leek Town
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

25.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Hebburn Town - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
25', 1 - 0, Wood E. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Heath C. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Hurst A. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, Wood E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
88', 3 - 2, Martin O. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, Potts L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17).

Recent performances by Hebburn have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leek is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hebburn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hebburn has had a series of away games.

Hebburn could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hebburn won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hebburn won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Hebburn Town - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.02%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.10.25	Ashton United - Hebburn Town	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	United of Manchester - Hebburn Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Hebburn Town - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hebburn Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTW
- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.10.25	Leek Town - Lancaster City	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Halesowen Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Leek Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Leek Town - Hednesford Town	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cleethorpes Town - Leek Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.03.25	Hebburn Town - Leek Town	0:1
26.10.24	Leek Town - Hebburn Town	2:2

Upcoming Matches