The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hegelmann Litauen 49.6%
Draw 25.7%
FA Šiauliai 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
26.8%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
27.1%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hegelmann Litauen's performance.
FA Šiauliai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FA Šiauliai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hegelmann Litauen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FA Šiauliai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Hegelmann Litauen - FA Šiauliai Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Hegelmann will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 37. Radonja V. 5. Puerto A. 30. Isaac B. 18. Sadauskas R. 8. Armanavicius V. (C) 10. Oum Gouet S. 9. Kazlauskas D. 77. Wesley 21. Kausinis E. 11. Njoya A.
12. Linkevicius P. (G) 21. Mandic M. 50. Bierontas E. 33. Vukovic L. 2. Stankevicius N. 13. Romanovskij D. (C) 24. Naah D. 14. Zebrauskas K. 22. Pranckus P. 9. Nwoga C. 11. Batalha R.
Substitutes
20. Jonaitis L. 71. Jonavicius E. 67. Kaulinis A. 80. Kolendo L. (G) 19. Pasilys D.
61. Baliutavicius G. (G) 4. Dapkus M. 51. Gestautas G. 41. Gustas K. 27. Jarasius D. 45. Leipus B. 1. Sivickas V. (G) 8. Skytte S. 30. Vaitiekaitis U.
Coaches
Aramburu Erneta M.
Kuklys M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Baliutavicius G. (Penalty Awarded),
11', Kausinis E. ↓, Kaulinis A. ↑,
23', 1 - 1, Oum Gouet S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pranckus P. ↓, Leipus B. ↑,
51', Bierontas E. 🟨,
78', Stankevicius N. ↓, Skytte S. ↑,
89', Wesley 🟨,
89', Zebrauskas K. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone TOPLYGA (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Hegelmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Hegelmann could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hegelmann won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.1:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Hegelmann
29
4
14
11
31:48
-17
26
9
FA Siauliai
29
3
8
18
24:58
-34
17
Last Results with these Odds
Hegelmann Litauen - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.