Match Info

I Lyga - Round 15

Date: 27 June 2025, Friday

Location: Raudondvario stadionas (Raudondvario)


	Hegelmann Litauen 2		Tauras Tauragė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.49
				Watch
	6.22	4.84	1.39
				Watch
	4.5	4	1.53
	6.57	4.85	1.35
	3.8	3.95	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (3.82)	4.37 ↑ (4)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen 2
17.6%

Draw
20.9%

Tauras Tauragė
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

22.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

22.5%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hegelmann Litauen 2's form might have worsened.

Tauras Tauragė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tauras Tauragė's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hegelmann Litauen 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tauras Tauragė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Tauras Tauragė Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hegelmann 2 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tauras will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hegelmann 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Tauras (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hegelmann 2 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tauras (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Brazinskas A. (G) 27. Azouazi Y. 17. Harouna A. 25. Keliauskas K. 66. Kukta P. (C) 58. Pangonis L. 19. Pasilys D. 98. Pastukas J. 59. Polujanski A. 60. Sendzikas M. 29. Stulgys E.	1. Macaitis S. (G) 10. Baidoo A. 94. Dusevicius E. (C) 7. Jorge Eduardo 18. Nwosu D. 16. Paulius S. 21. Pikciunas M. 77. Sirka J. 4. Statkus M. 19. Totilas N. 8. Vaitkunas E.
Substitutes
73. Boguzas R. 35. Giedraitis T. 71. Jonavicius E. 37. Morkunas R. (G) 87. Popiera T. 16. Spycius A.	9. Dovgyi O. 5. Druktenis D. 14. Galbuogis G. 50. Kondrotas V. 17. Kovbasa A. 51. Lankauskas K. (G) 41. Popov A. (G) 6. Traore L. 88. Trijonis P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Statkus M. 🟨,
25', Harouna A. 🟨,
29', Paulius S. 🟨,
38', Stulgys E. 🟨,
42', Azouazi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3).

Recent form of Hegelmann 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tauras's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tauras is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann 2 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hegelmann 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
22.06.25	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	4:2 ✺
13.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Transinvest	0:5 ✺
26.05.25	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLL
- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.25	Tauras Tauragė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Tauras Tauragė - Ekranas	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
28.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
17.08.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Tauras Tauragė	3:3
23.03.24	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:1

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