Match Info

I Lyga - Round 25

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Jonava		Tauras Tauragė

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.35	1.78
	3.93	3.37	1.78
	3.96	3.52	1.8	Watch
	3.85	3.3	1.76
	3.88	3.58	1.84
	3.85	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.4)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	1.79 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
23.2%

Draw
26.3%

Tauras Tauragė
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

25.5%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

24.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Tauras Tauragė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (-5%)

Jonava - Tauras Tauragė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 7th).

Recent results have been tough for Jonava (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Tauras have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tauras carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Jonava has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:4 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jonava against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:0 goals (averaging 5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43
11	Jonava	25	7	6	12	28:33	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
11.09.26	Neptūnas - Jonava	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Jonava - Dainava Alytus	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Jonava	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Jonava - FA Šiauliai B	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Jonava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL
- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
12.09.26	Tauras Tauragė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Tauras Tauragė	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0
20.09.25	Jonava - Tauras Tauragė	1:0
17.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0
24.06.15	Jonava - Tauras Tauragė	9:0

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