Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 20

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne)


	Preston Lions		Hume City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.30	3.25
	1.92	3.45	3.35
	1.97	3.63	3.78
	1.96	3.69	3.47	Watch
	1.9	3.55	3.45
	1.92	3.48	3.41	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.74)	3.51 ↓ (3.55)	3.44 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston Lions
47.1%

Draw
26.2%

Hume City
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

23.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preston Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Preston Lions - Hume City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Hume City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Preston has had a series of away games.

Preston will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Preston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
04.07.26	Avondale - Preston Lions	2:3 ✺
27.06.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Preston Lions	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Heidelberg United - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	St Albans Dinamo - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Preston Lions - Oakleigh Cannons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWL
- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
04.07.26	Hume City - Dandenong City	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Dandenong Thunder - Hume City	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Hume City - Green Gully	3:2 ✺
05.06.26	Bentleigh Greens - Hume City	1:5 ✺
30.05.26	Hume City - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
27.03.26	Hume City - Preston Lions	3:2
16.05.25	Hume City - Preston Lions	0:1
07.02.25	Preston Lions - Hume City	2:1

Preston Lions - Hume City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide