Match Info

Australia Cup - Final

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Lakeside Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Channel 10, Paramount+


	Heidelberg United		Newcastle Jets

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.1	3.4	1.95
	3.25	3.4	2.05
	3.55	3.8	1.99
	3.67	3.56	1.96	Watch
	3.41	3.65	1.95	Watch
	3.05	3.2	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.95)	3.52 ↑ (3.43)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidelberg United
27.2%

Draw
26.3%

Newcastle Jets
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidelberg United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Heidelberg United - Newcastle Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sozer Y. (G) 4. Ali J. 3. Collins B. (C) 14. Lethlean R. 7. Fulton F. 10. Yokokawa A. 6. Lesiotis A. 8. Aidara M. 17. McGowan J. 9. Bul J. 20. Bisetto M.	1. Delianov J. (G) 39. Aquilina T. 15. Susnjar A. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 18. Mizunuma K. 17. Grozos K. (C) 14. Burgess M. 28. Dobson W. 9. Rose L. 43. Bertoncello X.
Substitutes
13. Apostolopoulos J. 15. Dau C. 22. Govan R. (G) 19. Klaassen P. 12. Markovic D. 27. Raffie A. 18. Theodoropoulos A.	40. Baylis J. (G) 8. Bayliss L. 45. Bracco C. 25. Fryer O. 11. Gibson B. 24. Nunes A. 41. Scicluna L.
Coaches
Anastasiadis J.	Milligan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Lethlean R. ⚽, Collins B. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Burgess M. ⚽, Aquilina T. (A),
27', Susnjar A. 🟨,
33', Bul J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Bisetto M. ↓, Dau C. ↑,
63', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
63', Dobson W. ↓, Bayliss L. ↑,
68', Aidara M. ↓, Raffie A. ↑,
69', Fulton F. 🟨,
76', Burgess M. ↓, Bracco C. ↑,
76', Bertoncello X. ↓, Fryer O. ↑,
86', McGowan J. ↓, Klaassen P. ↑,
86', Mizunuma K. ↓, Nunes A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
96', 1 - 2, Fryer O. ⚽, Aquilina T. (A),
99', Lethlean R. 🟨,
101', Aquilina T. 🟨,
104', Gibson B. 🟨,
105', Lethlean R. ↓, Apostolopoulos J. ↑,
105', Wilmering D. ↓, Scicluna L. ↑,
108', Grozos K. 🟨,
110', Yokokawa A. ↓, Theodoropoulos A. ↑,
112', Grozos K. 🟨,
113', Apostolopoulos J. 🟥,
115', 1 - 3, Gibson B. ⚽, Nunes A. (A),

Preview

Neutral location - Lakeside Stadium.

Heidelberg United has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Heidelberg United has had a series of home games.

Newcastle could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
14.09.25	Heidelberg United - Dandenong City	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Heidelberg United - Preston Lions	2:1 ✺
Australian Cup
30.08.25	Heidelberg United - Auckland FC	2:0 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
23.08.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Heidelberg United	2:2 ✺
Australian Cup
19.08.25	Heidelberg United - Wellington Phoenix	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWTW
- Newcastle Jets
Australian Cup
31.08.25	Avondale - Newcastle Jets	2:4 ✺
24.08.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	3:0 ✺
13.08.25	Cooks Hill United - Newcastle Jets	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	1:3 ✺
Australian Cup
30.07.25	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

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