The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Melbourne Sharks 8.1%
Draw 14.5%
Heidelberg United 77.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.4%
17.7%
67.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
17.2%
69.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Melbourne Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Melbourne Sharks's form might have worsened.
Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidelberg United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Melbourne Sharks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidelberg United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Port Melbourne Sharks - Heidelberg United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Bul J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Leban A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Vakirtzis J. ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Port Melbourne is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
Heidelberg United is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 1.
Port Melbourne is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Heidelberg United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Port Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Heidelberg United has had a series of home games.
In this match, Heidelberg United is the obvious favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
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