Match Info

Australia Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympic Park Stadium (Melbourne) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	12:30	Veikkaus TV


	Heidelberg United		Wellington Phoenix

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.8	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.2
	2.4	3.4	2.62	Watch
	2.47	3.55	2.71
	2.54	3.69	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.46	3.78	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (3.23)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	2.52 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidelberg United
37.2%

Draw
26%

Wellington Phoenix
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.1%

24.9%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heidelberg United's performance.

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Heidelberg United - Wellington Phoenix Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Heidelberg United will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Wellington will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wellington (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wellington (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sozer Y. (G) 4. Ali J. 3. Collins B. (C) 14. Lethlean R. 7. Fulton F. 8. Aidara M. 10. Yokokawa A. 6. Lesiotis A. 11. James Ngor S. 9. Bul J. 20. Bisetto M.	1. Oluwayemi J. (G) 6. Payne T. 15. Hughes I. 27. Sheridan M. 24. Loke T. 25. Nagasawa K. (C) 5. Conchie F. 18. Kelly-Heald L. 17. Sloane-Rodrigues G. 23. Supyk L. 9. Ishige H.
Substitutes
13. Apostolopoulos J. 15. Dau C. 22. Govan R. (G) 19. Klaassen P. 17. McGowan J. 27. Raffie A. 18. Theodoropoulos A.	11. Armiento C. 29. Brooke-Smith L. 7. Eze I. 42. Gillion F. 40. McCarron E. (G) 8. Retre P. 14. Rufer A.
Coaches
Anastasiadis J.	Italiano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Loke T. 🟨,
26', Nagasawa K. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Hughes I. (Own goal),
40', Fulton F. 🟨,
41', Bisetto M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Bisetto M. ⚽, Yokokawa A. (A),
51', 3 - 0, Yokokawa A. ⚽,
53', Supyk L. ↓, Eze I. ↑,
53', Conchie F. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
53', Sloane-Rodrigues G. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
53', Kelly-Heald L. ↓, Armiento C. ↑,
65', Bisetto M. ↓, McGowan J. ↑,
71', Ishige H. ↓, Rufer A. ↑,
78', James Ngor S. ↓, Dau C. ↑,
78', Ali J. ↓, Theodoropoulos A. ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Dau C. ⚽, McGowan J. (A),
90', Fulton F. ↓, Raffie A. ↑,
90', Aidara M. ↓, Apostolopoulos J. ↑,

Preview

Heidelberg United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Heidelberg United has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heidelberg United
Australian NPL Victoria
15.08.25	Heidelberg United - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
Australian Cup
12.08.25	Heidelberg United - Western Sydney Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
02.08.25	Avondale - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Heidelberg United - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
Australian Cup
23.07.25	Heidelberg United - Weston Bears	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLTW
- Wellington Phoenix
Australian Cup
10.08.25	Nunawading City - Wellington Phoenix	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix	1:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Wellington Phoenix - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Australian Cup
14.05.25	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
Australian A-League
04.05.25	Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWWL

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