Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Heidenheim		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.5	5.1
	1.86	3.49	4.86
	1.8	3.3	4.5
	1.82	3.48	4.55	Watch
	1.84	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.82)	3.45 ↓ (3.83)	4.63 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
52.1%

Draw
27.5%

Nürnberg
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

24.7%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Heidenheim have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.6%	0%	7.4%

Heidenheim - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: Heidenheim will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 3 (22.15%), has project points - 58, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Nürnberg has the most likely position - 14 (12.67%), has project points - 39, has currently - 22, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 43, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Heidenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Heidenheim is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
11.02.23	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	3:3 ✺
04.02.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Heidenheim - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.01.23	Heidenheim - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
16.01.23	CFR Cluj - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWWT
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
11.02.23	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
08.02.23	Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.02.23	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Nürnberg - St. Pauli	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.23	Sparta Prague - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
12.08.22	Nürnberg - Heidenheim	0:3
03.04.22	Heidenheim - Nürnberg	3:1
23.10.21	Nürnberg - Heidenheim	4:0
24.04.21	Nürnberg - Heidenheim	3:1
02.01.21	Heidenheim - Nürnberg	2:0
14.02.20	Heidenheim - Nürnberg	2:2
30.08.19	Nürnberg - Heidenheim	2:2

Upcoming Matches