Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Heilongjiang Ice City		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.4	Watch
	7	3.75	1.42
	7	4	1.4
	6.8	3.65	1.45
	8.24	3.88	1.49
	8	3.6	1.44
	7.2	3.98	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↑ (3.53)	3.84 ↑ (3.67)	1.44 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilongjiang Ice City
12.5%

Draw
23.9%

Changchun Yatai
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

24.6%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

19.7%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilongjiang Ice City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heilongjiang Ice City's form might have worsened.

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Changchun Yatai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heilongjiang Ice City than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heilongjiang Ice City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Heilongjiang Ice City - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Heilongjiang Lava Spring is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Changchun Yatai is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heilongjiang Lava Spring could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Changchun Yatai is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Lava Spring won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Heilongjiang Lava Spring won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilongjiang Ice City
Chinese Jia League
27.09.20	Heilongjiang Ice City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
24.09.20	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
19.09.20	Heilongjiang Ice City - Kunshan	0:0 ✺
16.09.20	Heilongjiang Ice City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Changchun Yatai - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTTL
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
26.09.20	Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
23.09.20	Changchun Yatai - Kunshan	0:1 ✺
20.09.20	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
17.09.20	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Changchun Yatai	0:2 ✺
12.09.20	Changchun Yatai - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
12.09.20	Changchun Yatai - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1
02.11.19	Heilongjiang Ice City - Changchun Yatai	4:1
29.06.19	Changchun Yatai - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:1

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