Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)


	Nantong Zhiyun		Shenzhen

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4
	1.93	3.2	3.75
	2.14	3.15	3.45
	1.98	3.31	4.18
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	1.93	3.44	4.05
	1.98	3.3	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.16)	3.27 (3.27)	3.86 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
47.3%

Draw
28.5%

Shenzhen
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	19%	14.3%

Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Shenzhen will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantong Zhiyun: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Shenzhen has the most likely position - 15 (100%), project points - 21, currently - 21, already of relegated.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Shenzhen have a series of home games.

Nantong Zhiyun will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Super League
15.05.23	Beijing Guoan - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0 ✺
10.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Zhejiang Professional	1:2 ✺
06.05.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
26.04.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLTW
- Shenzhen FC
Chinese Super League
13.05.23	Shenzhen - Dalian Pro	2:1 ✺
09.05.23	Shenzhen - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
05.05.23	Shenzhen - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Shenzhen - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
26.04.23	Shenzhen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLTL

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