Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 22

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Wuxi Sport Center (Wuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Guangdong Sports Channel


	Wuxi Wugou		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.8
	4	3.3	1.83
	4.32	3.45	1.8
	4.08	3.41	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.8
	4.12	3.5	1.76	Watch
	4	3.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (4.3)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
22.7%

Draw
27%

Guangzhou Evergrande
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.9%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

27.2%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 27. He Wei 4. Liang Jinhu 23. Yang Wenji 36. Zhao Shuhao 8. Zhang Yuanshu 18. Yue Zhilei 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 20. Nouble J. 19. Li Boxi 45. Zhao Z.	32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 18. Liao Jintao 2. Wang Wenxuan 5. Wang Shilong 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 28. Penaloza J. 19. Wu Junjie 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Alegria J.
Substitutes
34. Gui Hong 7. Guo Song 21. He Mingli 17. Hu Shengjia 5. Lin Jiahao 11. Mandic S. 12. Song X. 6. Tang Qirun 10. Tong Le 30. Yuan Z. 22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 38. Zhu Haiwei	1. Askhan (G) 30. Bai Yutao 4. Chen Quanjiang 22. Li Jiahao 24. Qurban W. 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 14. Wu Yongqiang 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 12. Yasin Islam 29. Zhang Dachi
Coaches
Zhang H.	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Li Boxi ⚽, Zhang Yuanshu (A),
19', 1 - 1, Penaloza J. ⚽, Liao Jintao (A),
40', Zhao Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', 1 - 2, Alegria J. ⚽,
59', Tursunjan Ahmat ↓, He Mingli ↑,
59', Zhao Z. ↓, Mandic S. ↑,
67', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
67', Hou Yu ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
71', Zhang Yuanshu ↓, Tong Le ↑,
71', He Wei ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
73', Wu Junjie ↓, Wang Jie ↑,
76', Wang Jie 🟨,
82', Zhao Shuhao ↓, Lin Jiahao ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Bai Yutao ⚽, Xu Bin (A),
86', Alegria J. ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
90', 1 - 4, Wu Yongqiang ⚽, Penaloza J. (A),
90+1', Wu Yongqiang 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 3).

Wuxi Wugou is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wuxi Wugou won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuxi Wugou won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
01.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Yunnan Yukun	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Wuxi Wugou	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Wuxi Wugou - Beijing Guoan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTLL
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
01.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Ningbo Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Foshan Nanshi	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
22.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	2:1
09.10.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	1:2
18.06.23	Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1

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