Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Nanjing City		Wuxi Wugou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	3.00	2.65
	2.25	3.15	2.88	Watch
	2.71	3.09	2.72
	2.17	3.23	3.34	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.65
	2.45	2.91	2.70	Watch
	2.44	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.07)	3.06 ↓ (3.4)	2.81 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
37.5%

Draw
29.9%

Wuxi Wugou
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nanjing City's form might have worsened.

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nanjing City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Xi Anjie (G) 22. Meng Zhen 4. Zhao Chengle 2. Wang Xijie 20. Liu Le 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 31. Zhu Qiwen 14. Qurban W. 11. Hu Rentian (C) 10. Ngom Mbekeli J. 23. Hu Jinghang	13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 27. He Wei 25. Wang Zihao 4. Isic T. 22. Gui Zihan 23. Dong Kaining 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 7. Albarracin N. (C) 37. Yi Xianlong 19. Noordanus N. 36. Tang Rui
Substitutes
17. An Bang 25. Bruno Baio 37. Dong Huayang 29. Fu Shang 19. Ma Fuyu 15. Tayir Shewketjan 30. Wei Minghe 33. Xiang Rongjun 26. Yang Chao (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 16. Yang He 6. Zhou Y.	38. Chen Guokang 21. Gao Jingchun 26. Gou J. 14. Hao Kesen (G) 30. Li Boxi 5. Lin Jiahao 2. Liu Boyang 18. Meng Junjie 17. Sun Z. 9. Wang Yifan 20. Zhang Yonglong 16. Zhou Pinxi
Coaches
Li Y.	Dias B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Qurban W. 🟨,
9', Liu Le 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Noordanus N. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Tang Rui 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', He Wei ↓, Lin Jiahao ↑,
46', Liu Le ↓, Yang He ↑,
46', Qurban W. ↓, An Bang ↑,
61', Hu Jinghang ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
63', Tang Rui ↓, Wang Yifan ↑,
69', Hu Rentian ↓, Ma Fuyu ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Noordanus N. ⚽, Gui Zihan (A),
75', Albarracin N. ↓, Gao Jingchun ↑,
76', Dong Kaining ↓, Chen Guokang ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Wang Zihao ⚽,
82', Zhai Zhaoyu ↓, Bruno Baio ↑,
85', Noordanus N. ↓, Li Boxi ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 11th).

Nanjing City is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Wuxi Wugou is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nanjing City holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Nanjing City has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nanjing City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Wuxi Wugou	25	9	6	10	38:31	7	33
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Last Results with these Odds

Nanjing City - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.13%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
13.09.26	Meizhou Hakka - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Nanjing City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
13.09.26	Wuxi Wugou - Nantong Zhiyun	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Dalian Kun City - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Wuxi Wugou - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
23.05.26	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1
15.09.24	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	1:1
28.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1
27.08.23	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1
13.05.23	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	5:0

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