Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Helmond Sport		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.7	1.96	Watch
	3.10	3.40	2.10
	3.2	3.45	2.12	Watch
	3.53	3.69	2.12
	3.3	3.57	2.08	Watch
	3.45	3.45	2.04
	3.45	3.73	1.96	Watch
	3.2	3.55	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.38)	3.57 ↑ (3.23)	2.06 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
28.3%

Draw
26.2%

De Graafschap
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28.9%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Helmond Sport - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 4. Koglin B. (C) 43. Landheer T. 17. Lantaki W. 10. Huiberts D. 6. Ludwig M. 44. van der Velde X. 19. Ingason H. 11. Cicero L. 9. Bajrami L.	1. Wieggers T. (G) 6. Leemans C. (C) 4. Hardeman J. 14. Bolk G. 8. Warmerdam D. 24. Meerstadt J. 18. Eijken D. 21. Symons K. 27. Ahmeti N. 17. Kaninda N. 10. de Jong F.
Substitutes
22. Dizdarevic A. 30. Ekoli K. 23. El Maach A. (G) 47. Geerts D. 94. Lenaerts M. 48. van Bree R. 21. Van der Heijden W. (G) 26. van Zutphen D. 29. Zimuangana O.	31. Bouwman S. (G) 36. Braem T. 37. Eroglu C. 32. Grotenhuis T. 34. Hartgers N. 23. Jonkers R. (G) 9. Kania J. 38. Smits M. 7. van Zijl B. 2. Wieckhoff J.
Coaches
Frans F.	Duivenvoorden T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Huiberts D. ⚽, Cicero L. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, de Jong F. ⚽, Ahmeti N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kaninda N. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
57', Bajrami L. ↓, Ekoli K. ↑,
57', Cicero L. ↓, Lenaerts M. ↑,
61', Ahmeti N. ↓, Eroglu C. ↑,
65', Huiberts D. 🟨,
66', Ingason H. 🟨,
66', Warmerdam D. 🟨,
70', Huiberts D. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
74', Meerstadt J. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
74', Eijken D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
78', Leemans C. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
90+2', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

De Graafschap is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

De Graafschap: 0.81%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11
17	Helmond	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Helmond Sport - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.64%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Helmond Sport - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Helmond Sport - Al-Taawoun	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Helmond Sport - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Gemert - Helmond Sport	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Helmond Sport - AEK Larnaca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLLTL
- De Graafschap
Club Friendly
01.08.26	De Graafschap - Excelsior	1:5 ✺
25.07.26	De Graafschap - AE Kifisia	4:2 ✺
17.07.26	De Graafschap - Telstar	3:6 ✺
12.07.26	De Graafschap - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Heerenveen - De Graafschap	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.01.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	0:0
21.11.25	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	3:1
09.05.25	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	1:4
13.09.24	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:3
16.02.24	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	3:1
18.09.23	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:1
06.03.23	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:0

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