The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Helmond Sport 41.4%
Draw 26.2%
Volendam 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
22.7%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
21.9%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helmond Sport's form might have worsened.
Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volendam's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helmond Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volendam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
20%
50%
Helmond Sport - Volendam Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Volendam will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van der Steen W. (C) 2. Pachonik T. 4. Halhal R. 5. Scholz J. 17. Van Hove B. 22. Dizdarevic A. 8. Ostrc E. 14. Mallahi M. 10. Golliard T. 11. Daneels L. 9. Sits D.
22. Lauwers B. (G) 23. Curiel G. 4. Mbuyamba X. 3. Amevor M. 32. Leliendal Y. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 6. Plat A. 8. Jacobs Ja. 36. de Haan M. 9. Veerman H. (C) 21. Muhren R.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 27. Absalem A. 32. Essakkati T. 21. Hendriks T. (G) 35. Ingason H. 12. Ogenia J. 39. van den Hurk A. 52. Van Himbeeck A.
2. Beukers D. 25. Blondeau L. 15. Bouziane A. 77. Demircioglu C. 27. Hoeve Q. 18. Kuwas B. 34. Nazih I. 16. Ngom K. (G) 11. Oehlers A. 14. Steur D. 28. van Oevelen K. (G)
Coaches
Hofland K.
Kruys R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Mallahi M. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Muhren R. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ostrc E. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Veerman H. ⚽, Plat A. (A),
58', Halhal R. 🟨,
65', Jacobs Ja. 🟨,
66', Mallahi M. ↓, van den Hurk A. ↑,
66', Daneels L. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
72', Veerman H. ↓, Kuwas B. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Golliard T. ⚽, Absalem A. (A),
83', de Haan M. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
87', Dizdarevic A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 3, Van Hove B. (Own goal),
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Helmond Sport won 0.
Helmond Sport in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Volendam is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Helmond Sport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Helmond Sport will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Helmond Sport: Doudah M.
(Injury)
Ludwig M.
(Knee Injury)
Van Den Eynden F.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Helmond Sport: Bisselink S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22-40.
Including matches at home between the teams Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-16.