Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 25

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, TV4 Play


	Helsingborg		Gefle

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.72	6.8
	1.46	4.51	6.22	Watch
	1.35	4.6	6.5
	1.44	4.6	6.49	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)	4.6 ↑ (4.43)	6.47 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
65.3%

Draw
20.3%

Gefle
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.2%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Helsingborg - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joelsson K. (C) 19. Orn B. 2. Birkfeldt J. 3. Nilsson W. 20. Olsson D. 13. Loeper W. 14. Kjellnas L. 16. Gigovic E. 21. Svanback A. 27. Acquah B. 9. Silverholt T.	22. Nilsson M. (G) 7. Edqvist A. 16. Persson K. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 3. Adolfsson J. 15. Friberg G. 10. Izountouemoi S. 44. Ranera I. 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 8. Lundin A.
Substitutes
30. Arvidsson N. (G) 24. Bergman D. 22. Chika C. 25. Hellborg A. 7. Kabashi A. 4. Rogne T. 23. Westerlund W.	2. Adel I. 14. Friman S. P. 5. Hakansson N. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 23. Lattman A.
Coaches
Saarenpaa K.	Bengtsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Svanback A. ⚽,
20', Edqvist A. 🟨,
22', Loeper W. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Acquah B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Svanback A. ⚽, Gigovic E. (A),
51', 4 - 0, Silverholt T. ⚽, Svanback A. (A),
63', Loeper W. ↓, Chika C. ↑,
70', Rafael Y. 🟨,
75', Silverholt T. ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
76', Olsson D. ↓, Westerlund W. ↑,
78', Izountouemoi S. ↓, Lattman A. ↑,
83', Kjellnas L. ↓, Hellborg A. ↑,
83', Gigovic E. ↓, Bergman D. ↑,
88', Chika C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gefle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Helsingborg is indisputable favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
24.09.24	Landskrona - Helsingborg	0:1 ✺
19.09.24	Helsingborg - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
13.09.24	Östersund - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	0:3 ✺
27.08.24	Brage - Helsingborg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLLW
- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
24.09.24	Gefle - Östersund	0:0 ✺
19.09.24	Degerfors - Gefle	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Gefle - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Skövde AIK - Gefle	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Gefle - Öster	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
01.04.24	Gefle - Helsingborg	2:3
21.10.23	Helsingborg - Gefle	0:0
10.04.23	Gefle - Helsingborg	1:0
25.08.18	Helsingborg - Gefle	3:0
05.06.18	Gefle - Helsingborg	1:1
02.10.17	Gefle - Helsingborg	2:1
17.04.17	Helsingborg - Gefle	1:1

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