Match Info

National League South - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Slough Town

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.15	5.3
	1.5	4.34	5.8	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.5
	1.6	3.85	5.46
	1.55	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	4.03 ↑ (4.01)	5.41 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
60%

Draw
22.9%

Slough Town
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Slough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Slough (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Makowski W. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Makowski W. ⚽,
45+7', 0 - 3, Dyce T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', Ajayi K. 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 3.

Hemel Hempstead is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Slough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hemel Hempstead is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
10.01.26	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Enfield Town	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	Chesham United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLT
- Slough Town
English National League South
13.01.26	Chippenham Town - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Slough Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Slough Town - Chesham United	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	Maidenhead United - Slough Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Slough Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.08.25	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
11.01.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	4:1
07.09.24	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
13.04.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	2:3
19.12.23	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0
01.04.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	1:1
08.10.22	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2

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