The best margin for this event is 12.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hemel Hempstead Town 33.6%
Draw 27.4%
Torquay United 39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
27.7%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Hemel Hempstead Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Torquay United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
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Preview
Postponed due to FA Cup.
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 14th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 2.
In recent outings, Hemel Hempstead has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Torquay shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Torquay may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Hemel Hempstead has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:20 (averaging 1.2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hemel Hempstead against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:13 goals (averaging 1.4:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Torquay
13
4
5
4
19:17
2
17
17
Hemel Hempstead
14
3
6
5
14:17
-3
15
Outrights of English National League South for now
Torquay: 9.35% Hemel Hempstead: 0.75%
Last Results with these Odds
Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Torquay United - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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