Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Hendon		Beaconsfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.25
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.89	4.09	3.33
	1.89	4.09	3.33
	1.9	3.62	3.4
	1.85	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)	3.83 ↑ (3.59)	3.35 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
48.9%

Draw
23.9%

Beaconsfield Town
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

24.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hendon's performance.

Beaconsfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Hendon - Beaconsfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Payne J. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Leonard B. ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Payne J. (Pen),
27', 1 - 3, McElroy T. ⚽,
45', 1 - 4, English K. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 4, Lucien S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 5, Payne J. ⚽,
58', 3 - 5, Muir N. ⚽,
84', 4 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hendon won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Beaconsfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hendon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hendon won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Hendon - Winchester City	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Hendon - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Hendon	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Hendon	3:2 ✺
02.03.24	Hendon - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL
- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Totton - Beaconsfield Town	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Beaconsfield Town - Dorchester Town	3:4 ✺
09.03.24	Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Beaconsfield Town - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.08.23	Beaconsfield Town - Hendon	2:2
25.02.23	Beaconsfield Town - Hendon	1:1
07.02.23	Hendon - Beaconsfield Town	1:1
02.04.22	Hendon - Beaconsfield Town	2:0
15.11.21	Beaconsfield Town - Hendon	2:2
14.03.20	Beaconsfield Town - Hendon	Canceled
09.11.19	Hendon - Beaconsfield Town	2:1

Hendon - Beaconsfield Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide