Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Totton		Beaconsfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.49	4.97	5.01
	1.49	4.97	5.01
	1.45	4.33	5.62
	1.45	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)	4.52 ↑ (3.95)	5.32 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
62.5%

Draw
20.3%

Beaconsfield Town
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

23.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Totton's performance.

Beaconsfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Lee T. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Rendell S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 3 - 0, Taylor E. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Totton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Beaconsfield is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Totton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Totton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Totton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
19.03.24	Totton - Plymouth Parkway	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Chesham United - Totton	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Tiverton Town - Totton	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Didcot Town - Totton	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	Totton - Dorchester Town	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWT
- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
16.03.24	Beaconsfield Town - Dorchester Town	3:4 ✺
09.03.24	Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Beaconsfield Town - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Didcot Town - Beaconsfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Totton	0:2

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