Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Hendon		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.65
	2.2	3.75	2.65	Watch
	2.17	3.96	2.77
	2.16	3.96	2.77
	2.15	3.7	2.77
	2.2	3.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.44)	3.79 ↑ (3.46)	2.71 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
42.2%

Draw
24.1%

Poole Town
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

25.1%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hendon's performance.

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hendon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Hendon - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Leonard B. ⚽,
80', Semakula H. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hendon won 1.

Recent matches Hendon is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poole has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Poole could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hendon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
16.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Hendon	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Hendon	3:2 ✺
02.03.24	Hendon - Chesham United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Dorchester Town - Hendon	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.02.24	Wealdstone - Hendon	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLTL
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
16.03.24	Winchester City - Poole Town	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Poole Town - Walton & Hersham	1:3 ✺
06.03.24	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Chesham United - Poole Town	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.08.23	Poole Town - Hendon	2:2
22.04.23	Hendon - Poole Town	0:4
05.11.22	Poole Town - Hendon	4:3
22.01.22	Hendon - Poole Town	3:2
16.10.21	Poole Town - Hendon	2:1
17.10.20	Poole Town - Hendon	1:0
28.09.19	Hendon - Poole Town	1:3

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