Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Hendon		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2.05
	2.9	3.5	2.12
	2.99	3.59	2.17
	2.94	3.57	2.14
	2.93	3.44	2.14
	2.9	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.43)	3.5 (3.5)	2.12 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
31%

Draw
26%

Chatham Town
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hendon's form might have worsened.

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chatham Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hendon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chatham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hendon - Chatham Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chatham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Butler R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
55', 1 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Webster H. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Ilic S. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Butler R. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Hendon is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chatham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chatham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hendon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Last Results with these Odds

Chatham Town - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.12%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.04.25	Dover Athletic - Hendon	4:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hendon - Chichester City	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Canvey Island - Hendon	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Horsham - Hendon	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Hendon - Billericay Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTLL
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.04.25	Chatham Town - Chichester City	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Chatham Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Hashtag United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
18.03.25	Dover Athletic - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.09.24	Chatham Town - Hendon	2:2

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