The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chatham Town 64.9%
Draw 19.7%
Chichester City 15.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.9%
22.3%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
20.5%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Chichester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chatham Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Chatham Town - Chichester City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Moynes K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', 2 - 0, Dixon J. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Obodo M. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Obodo M. ⚽,
79', 2 - 3, Hutchings R. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 14).
Chatham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chichester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Chichester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chatham has had a series of home games.
In this match, Chatham is the obvious favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chatham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Chatham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.