Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Hendon		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.6	2
	2.9	3.7	2.07
	2.67	3.86	2.2
	2.9	3.5	2.05
	2.96	3.54	2.09
	2.9	3.7	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.57)	3.65 ↓ (3.79)	2.08 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
31.6%

Draw
24.8%

Dover Athletic
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

23.5%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hendon's performance.

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dover Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hendon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dover Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hendon - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Soares Jr. R. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Soares Jr. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 3, Nikaj G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Hendon has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dover is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dover will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dover to win the game is with odds 1.81.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.12.24	Cray Wanderers - Hendon	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Hendon - Potters Bar Town	0:4 ✺
21.12.24	Chichester City - Hendon	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hendon - Canvey Island	0:1 ✺
10.12.24	Hashtag United - Hendon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.25	Dover Athletic - Horsham	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Dover Athletic - Billericay Town	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Hastings United - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Cheshunt - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Dover Athletic - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL

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