Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 20

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.2
	1.62	3.95	4.3
	1.63	4.27	4.4
	1.61	4.14	4.44
	1.63	3.92	4.36
	1.62	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)	4.02 ↓ (4.3)	4.33 ↓ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
56.3%

Draw
22.7%

Cray Wanderers
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

21.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dover Athletic's form might have worsened.

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Dover Athletic - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Clunis N. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 16).

Dover in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cray is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dover is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dover to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.12.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Dover Athletic	1:4 ✺
30.11.24	Dover Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:2 ✺
26.11.24	Lewes - Dover Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Dover Athletic - Canvey Island	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWW
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.12.24	Cray Wanderers - Chichester City	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Potters Bar Town - Cray Wanderers	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTLW

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