Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Cheshunt		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.68
	4.1	3.75	1.69
	4.3	3.69	1.75
	4.17	3.87	1.69
	3.5	3.75	1.8
	4.11	3.8	1.69
	4.1	3.75	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.56)	3.76 ↓ (3.85)	1.71 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheshunt
22.6%

Draw
24.2%

Dover Athletic
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

23.6%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

23.4%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheshunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Cheshunt - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Nikaj G. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Baptiste L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 2, Oji U. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Recent matches Cheshunt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dover is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cheshunt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dover will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cheshunt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cheshunt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.12.24	Cheshunt - Bowers & Pitsea	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Horsham - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
10.12.24	Cheshunt - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Cheshunt - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLTT
- Dover Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.12.24	Dover Athletic - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Dover Athletic	1:4 ✺
30.11.24	Dover Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:2 ✺
26.11.24	Lewes - Dover Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Dover Athletic - Cheshunt	3:0
English National League South
07.03.23	Dover Athletic - Cheshunt	0:3
06.12.22	Cheshunt - Dover Athletic	2:0

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