Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Hendon		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.4	3.5	2.5
	2.5	3.56	2.5
	2.51	3.56	2.51
	2.52	3.5	2.51
	2.4	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.47)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)	2.49 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hendon
37.2%

Draw
26.1%

Gosport Borough
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hendon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Gosport is Qualified for Southern League South Division (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hendon won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hendon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hendon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Hendon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
16.04.24	Sholing - Hendon	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Merthyr Town - Hendon	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Hendon - Walton & Hersham	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Hendon	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Hendon - Beaconsfield Town	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTTTL
- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
13.04.24	Gosport Borough - Hayes & Yeading United	1:2 ✺
09.04.24	Tiverton Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Hanwell Town - Gosport Borough	0:0 ✺
01.04.24	Gosport Borough - Winchester City	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Gosport Borough - Hendon	2:1
20.04.23	Gosport Borough - Hendon	1:0
29.10.22	Hendon - Gosport Borough	2:0
05.03.22	Gosport Borough - Hendon	1:1
01.02.22	Hendon - Gosport Borough	0:1
18.01.20	Hendon - Gosport Borough	2:1
24.08.19	Gosport Borough - Hendon	1:0

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