Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Merthyr Town		Hendon

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.2
	1.87	3.75	3.4
	1.91	4.01	3.25
	1.92	4.02	3.25
	1.91	3.79	3.42
	1.87	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)	3.84 ↑ (3.82)	3.32 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Merthyr Town
48.5%

Draw
23.9%

Hendon
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Hendon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hendon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Matsuzaka D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 1, Handley T. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Hendon have a series of home games.

Merthyr will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 3-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Merthyr Town - Hungerford Town	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Merthyr Town - Walton & Hersham	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Salisbury - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTT
- Hendon
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Hendon - Walton & Hersham	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Hendon	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Hendon - Beaconsfield Town	4:5 ✺
23.03.24	Hendon - Winchester City	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Hendon - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
04.11.23	Hendon - Merthyr Town	1:0
18.03.23	Merthyr Town - Hendon	1:2
15.11.22	Hendon - Merthyr Town	1:1
23.04.22	Hendon - Merthyr Town	6:0
11.09.21	Merthyr Town - Hendon	0:2
07.12.19	Hendon - Merthyr Town	2:1
16.02.19	Merthyr Town - Hendon	0:2

Upcoming Matches