The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heraclea 38.1%
Draw 27.8%
Sarnese 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
27.5%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
29.8%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Sarnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Heraclea - Sarnese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ))
Heraclea has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sarnese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heraclea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.