Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Round 23Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Sarnese |
|
Ferrandina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.45 |
5.03 |
|
 |
1.87 |
3.15 |
4.25 |
Watch |
 |
1.65 |
3.1 |
5 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.42 |
5.2 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.5 |
5 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↓ (1.96) |
3.32 ↓ (3.45) |
4.9 ↑ (3.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sarnese 54.2% | Draw 27.3% | Ferrandina 18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarnese's performance.Ferrandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferrandina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrandina than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferrandina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sarnese - Ferrandina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 82', 1 - 0, Mazzei T. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).Recent form of Sarnese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Ferrandina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Sarnese is considered a favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarnese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;