Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday


	Hercílio Luz		Cianorte

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.75
	1.9	3.1	4
	1.9	3.05	4.29	Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.91	3.06	4.06
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.29)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	4.02 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hercílio Luz
47.8%

Draw
29.6%

Cianorte
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.9%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hercílio Luz's performance.

Cianorte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cianorte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hercílio Luz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cianorte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hercílio Luz - Cianorte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Richard ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Cianorte is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cianorte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Avenida - Hercílio Luz	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Concórdia - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Hercílio Luz - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
19.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Avenida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTTLW
- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Cianorte - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
10.07.24	Cianorte - Novo Hamburgo	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Cianorte	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Avenida - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Cianorte - Avenida	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.04.24	Cianorte - Hercílio Luz	0:0

Hercílio Luz - Cianorte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide