Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday


	Hercílio Luz		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2	2.8	3.8
	2	2.7	4.15
	2.03	2.55	4.51
	2	2.7	3.8
	2.07	2.61	4.55
	2.15	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	2.71 ↓ (3.1)	4.05 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hercílio Luz
44.3%

Draw
33.4%

Ferroviária
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Hercílio Luz - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Hercílio Luz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hercílio Luz is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Ferroviária - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Hercílio Luz - Aimoré	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Novo Hamburgo - Hercílio Luz	5:5 ✺
08.07.23	Hercílio Luz - São-Joseense	3:0 ✺
01.07.23	Camboriú - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Ferroviária - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Operário MS - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	Ferroviária - Maringá	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
29.07.23	Ferroviária - Hercílio Luz	1:1

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