Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 15

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Hercílio Luz		Grêmio Juventus

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.00	9.75
	1.21	5.20	8.50
	1.19	5.47	11.32
	1.33	4.46	8.38
	1.17	5.40	11.00
	1.19	5.35	13.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.23)	5.15 ↓ (5.22)	10.39 ↑ (10.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hercílio Luz
73.8%

Draw
17.5%

Grêmio Juventus
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.9%

17.4%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Grêmio Juventus have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Hercílio Luz - Grêmio Juventus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense and 8).

Hercílio Luz is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Grêmio Juventus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hercílio Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hercílio Luz is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hercílio Luz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hercílio Luz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	18	13	3	2	35:10	25	42
9	Gremio Juventus	18	5	2	11	17:26	-9	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
12.07.26	Blumenau - Hercílio Luz	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Hercílio Luz	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Hercílio Luz - Fluminense-SC	4:2 ✺
21.06.26	Hercílio Luz - Metropolitano	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Hercílio Luz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW
- Grêmio Juventus
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
12.07.26	Grêmio Juventus - Guarani de Palhoça	1:0 ✺
08.07.26	Blumenau - Grêmio Juventus	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Grêmio Juventus - Jaraguá do Sul	8:1 ✺
21.06.26	Grêmio Juventus - Atlético Tubarão	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Nação - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
24.05.26	Grêmio Juventus - Hercílio Luz	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
23.01.22	Hercílio Luz - Grêmio Juventus	1:0
03.03.21	Grêmio Juventus - Hercílio Luz	2:0

Hercílio Luz - Grêmio Juventus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide