Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno (Liberia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Municipal Liberia		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.85	5.3	Watch
	1.58	3.85	6.06
	1.52	4.29	5.85	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.63	3.66	5.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 (1.56)	3.76 ↓ (4.17)	5.63 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Liberia
59.1%

Draw
24.5%

Guadalupe
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

22%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Municipal Liberia - Guadalupe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Municipal Liberia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Municipal Liberia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monreal A. (G) 7. Johnson S. 30. Huertas J. 24. Francis W. 5. Molina Y. 42. Ruiz J. 31. Padilla S. 19. Arevalo T. 39. Villalobos M. 11. Torres E. 16. Hernandez A.	99. Leal R. (G) 4. Guzman K. 2. Miranda R. 35. Mendez G. 11. Angulo M. 32. Taylor S. 10. Morales E. 7. Ruiz J. 34. Morera G. M. 15. Demetrius T. 79. Maleck J.
Substitutes
32. Castrillo J. (G) 38. Chal J. 28. Darcia G. 2. Farrier H. 18. Gonzalez P. 22. Hudson A. 6. Pena R. 34. Prendas J. 4. Rios J. 12. Zuniga F.	1. Arroyo Aguilar C. (G) 21. Bonilla B. 6. Chacon E. 31. Fajardo K. 12. Mclean K. 30. Morejon J. 77. Murcia B. 5. Quiros W. 24. Ramirez Poveda L. J. 70. Santamaria P.
Coaches
Cardozo J.	Wright M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Villalobos M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hernandez A. ↓, Chal J. ↑,
46', Arevalo T. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
52', Guzman K. 🟨,
62', Torres E. 🟨,
66', Ruiz J. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Torres E. ⚽,
74', Demetrius T. 🟨,
75', Morales E. ↓, Santamaria P. ↑,
75', Morera G. M. ↓, Bonilla B. ↑,
82', Ruiz J. ↓, Murcia B. ↑,
82', Maleck J. ↓, Morejon J. ↑,
84', Murcia B. 🟨,
85', Francis W. 🟨,
90+2', Angulo M. 🟨,
90+3', Villalobos M. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
90+3', Torres E. ↓, Farrier H. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 10).

In recent matches, Municipal Liberia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guadalupe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Municipal Liberia is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Liberia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
04.03.26	Pérez Zeledón - Municipal Liberia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Municipal Liberia - Sporting San José	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Cartagines - Municipal Liberia	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
10.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLW
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
04.03.26	Guadalupe - Herediano	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Guadalupe - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Pérez Zeledón - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Guadalupe - San Carlos	3:4 ✺
08.02.26	Sporting San José - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
18.01.26	Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia	2:1
22.11.25	Municipal Liberia - Guadalupe	1:0
17.09.25	Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia	2:2
Costa Rican Copa
22.08.24	Municipal Liberia - Guadalupe	1:2

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