The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hereford 51.4%
Draw 24.9%
AFC Telford United 23.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.4%
25.2%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
24.9%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hereford's performance.
AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Telford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hereford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Telford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Hereford (1.77) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League and 21st in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hereford won 2.
Hereford is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Telford is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hereford could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Hereford for this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Hereford has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 12:7 (averaging 0.9:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hereford against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 0.9:0.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Hereford
12
8
2
2
24:7
17
26
21
AFC Telford
13
3
4
6
13:20
-7
13
Outrights of English National League North for now
Hereford: 12.8%
Last Results with these Odds
Hereford - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.37%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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