Match Info

National League North - Round 45

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Darlington

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.5
	1.82	3.8	3.55
	1.83	4.06	3.76
	1.82	3.99	3.7	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.7
	1.89	3.6	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.13)	3.84 ↓ (4.08)	3.6 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
50.5%

Draw
24%

Darlington
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

22.7%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

22.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darlington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darlington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

AFC Telford United - Darlington Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Telford will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Telford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Platt T. ⚽,
87', Maskell J. 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 1, Piggott J. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telford won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Telford is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Telford won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Telford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	AFC Telford	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9
22	Darlington	10	2	1	7	12:21	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
11.04.26	Peterborough Sports - AFC Telford United	2:3 ✺
06.04.26	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Chester - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	AFC Telford United - Marine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLTL
- Darlington FC
English National League North
11.04.26	Darlington - Marine	2:3 ✺
06.04.26	South Shields - Darlington	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Darlington - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Fylde - Darlington	4:1 ✺
24.03.26	Darlington - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
11.10.25	Darlington - AFC Telford United	0:6
English National League North
25.08.25	Darlington - AFC Telford United	2:2
04.02.23	Darlington - AFC Telford United	3:1
01.11.22	AFC Telford United - Darlington	1:4
22.01.22	AFC Telford United - Darlington	5:0
02.10.21	Darlington - AFC Telford United	3:0
English FA Trophy
19.12.20	Darlington - AFC Telford United	3:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches