The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Macclesfield Town 50.7%
Draw 24.4%
Hereford 24.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.3%
24.5%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
23.6%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Macclesfield Town - Hereford Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Osborne E. 🟥,
16', 0 - 1, Skinner A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Duffy L. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Iwunze H. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League and 2nd in the Promotion - National League North Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macclesfield won 4.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Hereford could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Macclesfield carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Macclesfield in today's match, at odds of 1.75.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Macclesfield has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 1.1:0.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Macclesfield against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Hereford
13
8
2
3
24:8
16
26
4
Macclesfield
12
7
3
2
18:11
7
24
Outrights of English National League North for now
Macclesfield: 15.08% Hereford: 10.77%
Last Results with these Odds
Macclesfield Town - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 52.28%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
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