The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Macclesfield Town 63.2%
Draw 20.5%
Hereford 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
22.5%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
23.4%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Macclesfield Town - Hereford Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Sohna H. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, Duffy L. ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, Duffy L. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Munday G. ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, Buckley I. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Macclesfield won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Macclesfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Macclesfield has had a series of away games.
In this match, Macclesfield is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Macclesfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.5:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Macclesfield won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
Outrights of English National League North for now