Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Buxton		Southport

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.7	3.05
	2.06	3.94	2.94
	2.1	3.66	3.14
	1.75	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.75)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	3.23 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Buxton
46.6%

Draw
24.8%

Southport
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.9%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buxton's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buxton - Southport Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, McKenzie M. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Lloyd D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Sodje T. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Robinson S. ⚽,
66', 🟥,
68', 2 - 3, Lloyd D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 1.

Buxton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Southport is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Buxton has had a series of home games.

In this match, Buxton is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
11.11.25	Bedford Town - Buxton	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Buxton - Chester	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Buxton - Southport	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Buxton - Chatham Town	2:1 ET ✺
English National League North
25.10.25	Buxton - Alfreton Town	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWW
- Southport
English National League North
11.11.25	Southport - Chester	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hereford - Southport	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Buxton - Southport	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Southport - King`s Lynn Town	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	Southport - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.11.25	Buxton - Southport	1:2
01.02.25	Buxton - Southport	2:1
31.08.24	Southport - Buxton	3:2
23.03.24	Southport - Buxton	2:2
25.11.23	Buxton - Southport	0:1
18.02.23	Buxton - Southport	1:0
29.10.22	Southport - Buxton	1:4

Upcoming Matches