Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 26

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	5.5
	1.47	4	5.8
	1.51	4.18	6.11
	1.51	4.16	6.22	Watch
	1.5	3.9	6
	1.44	4.25	6.55
	1.47	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.71)	4.1 ↑ (3.79)	6 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
62.2%

Draw
22.4%

Warrington Town
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hereford's performance.

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrington Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hereford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Hereford - Warrington Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Hereford will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, White J. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Williams L. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Doro Mo ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, Campbell R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 3 - 2, White J. ⚽,

Preview

Postponed due to bad weather.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 9 and 19).

Recent matches Hereford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warrington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Warrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hereford is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hereford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
15.02.25	King`s Lynn Town - Hereford	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Needham Market - Hereford	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Hereford - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	South Shields - Hereford	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Hereford - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWW
- Warrington Town
English National League North
11.02.25	Leamington - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Warrington Town - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Needham Market - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Farsley - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.10.24	Warrington Town - Hereford	2:0
13.04.24	Warrington Town - Hereford	1:2
05.12.23	Hereford - Warrington Town	2:1

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