Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 11

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)

Referee: Uzcategui J. (Ven)


	Hermanos Colmenares		Portuguesa Acarígua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.9	2.9	2.32
	2.79	2.87	2.49
	2.05	2.9	3.75
	2.92	2.94	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.3)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.63 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermanos Colmenares
34.1%

Draw
30.9%

Portuguesa Acarígua
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hermanos Colmenares's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hermanos Colmenares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa Acarígua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	90%	10%

Hermanos Colmenares - Portuguesa Acarígua Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hermanos Colmenares won 2.

Recent matches Hermanos Colmenares is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portuguesa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hermanos Colmenares could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hermanos Colmenares won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hermanos Colmenares won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.04.23	Academia Puerto Cabello - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
17.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Angostura	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWT
- Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division
16.04.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Universidad Central	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Monagas - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Rayo Zuliano - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:1 ✺
10.03.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo La Guaira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
30.06.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0
19.05.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:1
04.12.21	Portuguesa Acarígua - Hermanos Colmenares	3:0
13.11.21	Hermanos Colmenares - Portuguesa Acarígua	3:1
16.10.21	Hermanos Colmenares - Portuguesa Acarígua	3:1
27.08.21	Portuguesa Acarígua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:1
11.07.21	Hermanos Colmenares - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:3

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